Erskine Bowles remarks at Economic Forecast Forum
What we are
doing today is unsustainable. The federal government is adding debt at the rate
of $1 trillion per year. This is like a cancer eating at us.
We are
going to destroy ourselves from within. When the crisis comes it will happen so
fast it will surprise us.
100% of the
revenue coming into the federal treasury is consumed by mandated spending, such
as Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security. All other federal spending is
borrowed money, half of it from other countries. If we do nothing the interest
on our debt will equal $1 trillion per year by the year 2020.
This
buildup in debt is our biggest security problem.
We cannot grow
our way out of this problem.
We cannot
tax our way out of this problem.
In order to balance the budget using taxes alone the federal
income tax rate would have to be 70 percent for high income earners, 80 percent
for corporations and taxes on capital gains would have to be 50 percent.
We cannot
cut our way out of this problem.
The
solution the Deficit Reduction commission proposed includes a mixture of 25
percent revenues and 75 percent spending cuts.
There are
several principles which much be observed:
1.
We
cannot disrupt this fragile economy
2.
We
must protect the truly disadvantaged
3.
We
must maintain the safety and security of our people, however we cannot continue
defense spending that is greater than the sum of the next 14 nations of the
world combined. That is our present defense spending level.
4.
We
must invest in our nation’s aging infrastructure and education
The deficit
commission believes we can reform our tax codes, broaden the revenue bases and
reduce income taxes to 8 percent for those earning up to $70,000 per year, 14
percent for those earning between 70 and $200,000 per year, and 23 percent for
those earning over $200,000. With this plan the corporate tax rate would be 26
percent.
The goal is
for federal government spending to be no more than 21 percent of the country’s
gross domestic product. It is currently 24.6 percent.
We have
tough choices ahead of us. If we don’t make them and solve our problems we will
become a second rate nation.

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