The Governor's Race

Brad Crone, political consultant and NC SPIN panelist, did further study of the recent Public Policy Polling report on the North Carolina Governor's race. PPP showed that Governor Bev Perdue's popularity numbers are rising, but she is still the least popular governor in the nation. 

Crone pulled the actual results of the poll and discovered the following:

·         29% of self-identified Barack Obama voters disapprove of the Governor's job performance

·         18% of self-identified Barack Obama voters say they will vote for Pat McCrory for Governor over incumbent Governor Bev Perduer

·         21% of self-identified Barack Obama voters say they have a favorable opinion of Pat McCrory

·         48% of residents who have lived in the state 10years or less have an unfavorable opinion of Beverly Perdue

·         70+ voters are the only age demographic where Perdue leads McCrory, with 40% of these voters "undecided"

·         46% of self-identified "moderate" voters disapprove of Perdue's job performance

·         57% of self-identified "somewhat conservative" voters disapprove of Perdue's job performance

·         McCrory has a 49% to 37% advantage over Perdue with most likely female voters

·         Independent voters prefer McCrory 49% to 30% over the Governor

·         21% of unaffiliated voters say they remain undecided in the McCrory/Perdue head-to-head match-up

·         37% of most likely GOP voters say they don't know enough about Pat McCrory to have an opinion of the Mayor

·         15% of African American voters say they don't know enough about Bev Perdue to have an opinion of the Governor


Questions to be answered in the next 6 months:

1. Can Barack Obama produce the same magic and turn out young, African American and Independent voters like he did in 2008?

2. Can Governor Perdue raise the campaign cash needed to wage a strong campaign?

3. Will Republican leaders in the North Carolina General Assembly blow their big opportunity and remain in power in the legislature?

4. Can these Republican leaders keep their party from self-destructing as they have done in the past?

5. Can Pat McCrory be conservative enough to win the Republican gubernatorial primary without moving so far to the right he won't be able to move to the center, thereby attracting the mostly moderate electorate in our state?

6. Will unaffiliated and moderate voters have candidates in 2012, thereby splintering the vote and perhaps throwing the election to one party or another?


The 2012 elections in North Carolina area already shaping up to be interesting. Keep watching NC SPIN and we will keep you informed. 


 

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Comments

  • 4/26/2011 2:12 PM George T Riley wrote:
    Interesting stats, but not too surprising.
    Reply to this
  • 4/27/2011 8:59 AM Robt Lowry wrote:
    I agree with Brad.N.C. is in bad shapewith Governors.The last two only have personal interests.We need a businessman to run N.C. and our country.Jimmy Carter taught our President WELL? R< good opinions!
    Reply to this
  • 7/1/2011 8:18 AM matthew coles wrote:
    casey anthony trial a man gives the middle finger in court to the camra judge charge him. I made statements about the caswell co. sheriff dept. no response brin me to justice for the things i say i want some one from another state to defen me a good lawyer. Let's clear this up after your lawyer tells you to take a plea what's best for you to do then the judge ask you did you make this on your own why do the judge ask this question because we pay the attorneys to tell us what to do. i am sending this to nc spin blogger to comment on this sunday morning and nciic@nccourts.org to help me find out why none of these thing done to me was not brought up in court
    Reply to this
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